Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.034728 0.040273 0.046424 0.053758 0.062265 0.071827 0.083399
2025-12-28 0.026443 0.033802 0.042795 0.054601 0.069711 0.088430 0.113428
2026-01-04 0.021292 0.029320 0.039881 0.054811 0.075418 0.102927 0.142565
2026-01-11 0.017798 0.026049 0.037578 0.054898 0.080333 0.116442 0.171837
2026-01-18 0.015448 0.023827 0.036162 0.055689 0.085946 0.131247 0.204623
2026-01-25 0.013799 0.022302 0.035413 0.057165 0.092519 0.148030 0.242426
2026-02-01 0.011804 0.019897 0.032911 0.055433 0.093658 0.156317 0.267670
2026-02-08 0.010440 0.018298 0.031430 0.055064 0.096818 0.168048 0.299923
2026-02-15 0.009277 0.016860 0.029998 0.054521 0.099499 0.179141 0.332347
2026-02-22 0.008514 0.016012 0.029452 0.055421 0.104767 0.195281 0.375837
2026-03-01 0.007694 0.014944 0.028363 0.055148 0.107776 0.207580 0.413620
2026-03-08 0.006830 0.013677 0.026741 0.053632 0.108167 0.214906 0.442556
2026-03-15 0.006052 0.012490 0.025148 0.052016 0.108245 0.221809 0.471990
2026-03-22 0.005640 0.011991 0.024853 0.052985 0.113711 0.240208 0.527924
2026-03-29 0.005202 0.011379 0.024248 0.053221 0.117650 0.255904 0.580176
2026-04-05 0.004800 0.010791 0.023618 0.053312 0.121264 0.271317 0.633861
2026-04-12 0.004496 0.010380 0.023316 0.054082 0.126473 0.290842 0.699605
2026-04-19 0.004271 0.010118 0.023308 0.055514 0.133376 0.315026 0.779654
2026-04-26 0.003848 0.009342 0.022041 0.053833 0.132697 0.321489 0.817478
2026-05-03 0.003556 0.008844 0.021361 0.053475 0.135173 0.335759 0.876772
2026-05-10 0.003283 0.008357 0.020650 0.052948 0.137156 0.349049 0.935369
2026-05-17 0.003115 0.008113 0.020502 0.053822 0.142820 0.372261 1.023361
2026-05-24 0.002900 0.007723 0.019941 0.053557 0.145468 0.388038 1.093414